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How is the property market forecast in Algiers?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Algeria Property Pack

property investment Algiers

Yes, the analysis of Algiers' property market is included in our pack

The Algiers property market has experienced significant transformation over the past five years, with prices doubling from $1,000-$1,200 per square meter in 2020 to approximately $1,770 per square meter in 2025.

While growth rates reached 7.2% in 2024, the market is now showing signs of stabilization with projected annual growth rates of 3-7% for 2025-2026, particularly as inventory levels have increased by over 30% in certain neighborhoods.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Algeria, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At Sands of Wealth, we explore the Algerian real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Algiers, Oran, and Constantine. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What has been the average property price per square meter in Algiers over the past five years?

Property prices in Algiers have experienced dramatic growth over the past five years, nearly doubling from their 2020 levels.

In 2020, the average property price per square meter in Algiers ranged from $1,000 to $1,200. This represented the market baseline before the significant appreciation period that followed.

As of September 2025, the average price has reached approximately $1,770 per square meter, representing a 47-77% increase from 2020 levels. Premium neighborhoods now exceed $2,500 per square meter, while more affordable areas still command prices well above historical averages.

The most dramatic price increases occurred between 2021 and 2024, driven by post-pandemic urbanization trends, government housing incentives, and increased investment activity. Over the past decade, residential prices in Algeria have increased by approximately 20.25% in real terms, with the majority of this growth concentrated in the recent five-year period.

This price evolution reflects the transformation of Algiers from an emerging to a more mature real estate market, though prices remain below many regional capitals in North Africa and the Middle East.

How are annual price growth rates performing for apartments and houses in Algiers?

Annual price growth rates in the Algiers residential market are showing clear signs of deceleration after a period of robust expansion.

In 2024, property prices in Algiers rose by 7.2%, marking one of the strongest growth years in recent history. This growth was fueled by strong demand, limited inventory, and continued urbanization pressures.

For 2025, current projections indicate growth rates are slowing significantly, with estimates ranging from 3% to 7% annually. The higher end of this range is primarily concentrated in prime districts and central locations.

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This deceleration reflects several market dynamics: increased inventory levels, rising interest rates affecting affordability, and a natural cooling period after several years of rapid appreciation. The growth pattern suggests the market is transitioning from a high-growth phase to a more sustainable, moderate growth trajectory.

How many residential units were sold in Algiers last year compared to the five-year average?

Specific transaction volume data for Algiers residential sales in 2024 is not comprehensively tracked in public databases, reflecting the developing nature of Algeria's property market data collection systems.

However, market indicators suggest that sales volume in 2024 was likely modest compared to the peak period of 2021-2024. The increased inventory levels observed in 2025, with some neighborhoods showing inventory increases of 30.4%, indicate that supply has outpaced demand in certain segments.

Industry observers report a more balanced market environment emerging in 2025, suggesting that the frenzied buying activity of previous years has moderated. This shift toward balance typically indicates that annual transaction volumes have stabilized or declined from peak levels.

The lack of comprehensive transaction data represents one of the challenges for investors analyzing the Algiers market, as many transactions occur through private channels and may not be fully captured in official statistics.

Despite limited volume data, the price stability and increased inventory suggest a market that is finding equilibrium between supply and demand after several years of rapid growth.

What percentage of property sales in Algiers are financed by mortgages and how do interest rates affect demand?

Financing Method Percentage of Sales Buyer Type Interest Rate Market Impact
Cash Purchases Majority (60-70%) Local & Foreign N/A Stable demand
Local Mortgages 20-30% Local Residents ~8% Rate-sensitive
Foreign Mortgages 5-10% Foreign Buyers Limited Options Restricted access
Government Programs 10-15% Qualifying Locals Subsidized Policy-dependent
Developer Financing 5-10% Mixed Variable Project-specific

What are the rental yields in central Algiers versus suburban areas?

Rental yields in Algiers present attractive opportunities compared to regional benchmarks, with significant variations between central and suburban locations.

Central Algiers delivers rental yields ranging from 6% to 8%, which are considered high by North African standards. These yields are supported by strong demand from professionals, diplomats, and expatriate workers who prefer central locations for proximity to business districts and amenities.

Suburban areas of Algiers show more modest rental yields, typically ranging from 1.8% to 4.5%. The lower yields reflect both lower rental rates and relatively higher property purchase prices in some suburban developments that target middle-class families.

Compared to regional benchmarks across North Africa and the Middle East, Algiers' central yields of 6-8% are competitive with cities like Tunis and Rabat, while significantly outperforming markets like Dubai (3-5%) or Cairo's premium districts (4-6%).

These yield differentials make central Algiers particularly attractive for investors seeking rental income, though suburban properties may offer better long-term capital appreciation potential as the city continues to expand.

What is the vacancy rate trend across main neighborhoods in Algiers?

Vacancy rates in Algiers have shown upward pressure over the past three years, reflecting increased supply and changing market dynamics.

As of 2025, inventory levels have increased by 30.4% in several neighborhoods, indicating that vacant properties and available units have risen significantly since 2023. This increase is particularly notable in non-prime districts and newly developed areas.

The rising vacancy trend reflects several factors: accelerated construction activity in 2022-2024, government housing programs adding supply, and some demand moderation due to higher interest rates and economic uncertainty.

Central neighborhoods and prime districts have maintained lower vacancy rates due to their desirability, while peripheral areas and mid-tier developments show higher vacancy levels. This divergence suggests a two-speed market emerging in Algiers.

The trend indicates the market is transitioning from a supply-constrained environment to a more balanced situation, which typically benefits buyers and tenants through increased choice and potentially more competitive pricing.

How many new housing units are expected to be delivered in Algiers over the next five years?

The Algerian government has announced ambitious housing delivery targets that will significantly impact Algiers' residential supply over the next five years.

The AADL3 program alone targets delivery of 579,500 housing units nationwide, with a significant portion allocated to Algiers as the capital and largest metropolitan area. This represents one of the largest social housing initiatives in Algeria's recent history.

Beyond AADL3, the government's broader housing strategy aims to deliver 1.4 million homes across the country, with Algiers expected to receive approximately 200,000-250,000 units over the five-year period through various programs and private developments.

This supply increase of roughly 40,000-50,000 units annually in Algiers compares favorably with projected population growth, which continues at approximately 2-2.5% annually in the greater Algiers metropolitan area.

The substantial supply pipeline suggests that housing availability should improve significantly, potentially moderating price growth and providing more options for both buyers and renters in the coming years.

What are the main drivers of property demand in Algiers and their current figures?

1. **Urbanization Rate**: Algiers continues to experience sustained urban migration from rural areas and smaller cities, with the metropolitan area growing at 2-2.5% annually, adding approximately 80,000-100,000 new residents each year.2. **Household Income Growth**: Real household income growth has averaged 2-4% annually in recent years, supported by government employment programs and remittance inflows, enabling more families to afford property purchases.3. **Remittances from Diaspora**: Significant remittance flows from the Algerian diaspora in Europe and North America contribute an estimated $2-3 billion annually to the domestic economy, with a substantial portion directed toward property investments.4. **Government Employment**: As the capital, Algiers hosts major government institutions and state-owned enterprises, providing stable employment for approximately 40% of the metropolitan workforce, supporting consistent housing demand.5. **Infrastructure Development**: Major infrastructure projects including metro line extensions, highway improvements, and port modernization are creating new growth corridors and increasing property desirability in previously less accessible areas.

What proportion of buyers are local residents versus foreign investors in Algiers?

The buyer composition in Algiers has evolved significantly since 2020, though local residents continue to dominate the market.

Local residents represent the vast majority of property buyers in Algiers, estimated at 75-85% of total transactions. This includes both Algerian nationals living in the country and diaspora Algerians purchasing properties for investment or future return.

Foreign investor interest has increased markedly post-2021, rising from virtually negligible levels to an estimated 10-15% of market activity. This growth has been encouraged by dinar devaluation making properties more affordable for foreign buyers, and gradual policy reforms improving investment conditions.

Since 2020, the mix has shifted toward greater foreign participation, particularly from Middle Eastern and European investors attracted by relatively low property prices, high rental yields, and Algeria's strategic location.

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The remaining 5-10% consists of institutional buyers including local banks, insurance companies, and development firms acquiring properties for various business purposes. This evolving buyer mix reflects Algeria's gradual integration into regional and international property markets.

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What are the government's current housing policies and how many households benefit?

The Algerian government has implemented comprehensive housing policies designed to address the country's housing shortage and improve affordability for citizens.

The flagship AADL3 (Agence d'Amélioration et de Développement du Logement) program represents the largest current initiative, targeting 579,500 housing units nationwide with subsidized pricing and favorable payment terms for qualifying households.

Annual beneficiaries of government housing programs include hundreds of thousands of households across different income brackets. The programs are structured to serve various segments: social housing for low-income families, subsidized homeownership programs for middle-income households, and infrastructure support for private developers.

Additional policies include land allocation programs, construction material subsidies, and tax incentives for developers building affordable housing. These programs collectively benefit an estimated 200,000-300,000 households annually across Algeria.

In Algiers specifically, these policies are expected to benefit approximately 50,000-75,000 households annually through direct housing allocation, subsidized mortgages, and infrastructure improvements that enhance neighborhood livability.

What infrastructure and urban development projects are planned for Algiers?

Algiers is experiencing significant infrastructure investment that will reshape the city's property landscape over the next five years.

Major transportation projects include extensions to the existing metro system, with plans for additional lines connecting suburban areas to the city center. These projects represent investments of several billion dollars and will improve accessibility to previously underserved neighborhoods.

Urban development initiatives focus on modernizing central districts, developing new business areas, and improving coastal zones. The government has allocated substantial funding for utilities upgrades, road improvements, and public space enhancements throughout greater Algiers.

Port modernization projects aim to enhance Algiers' position as a Mediterranean trade hub, potentially creating new commercial districts and employment centers that will drive residential demand in nearby areas.

Housing-related infrastructure includes new schools, hospitals, and community centers to support the growing population. These projects are designed to accommodate the projected delivery of 200,000+ new housing units over the five-year period, ensuring adequate public services for new residents.

infographics rental yields citiesAlgiers

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Algeria versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

What do real estate agencies and banks forecast for Algiers property prices in 2026 and 2030?

Forecast Year Price Range ($/m²) Annual Growth Rate Key Assumptions
2025 (Current) $1,770 3-7% Market stabilization
2026 $1,823-$1,894 3-7% Continued moderate growth
2027 $1,878-$2,026 3-7% Infrastructure benefits emerging
2028 $1,934-$2,168 3-7% Supply-demand rebalancing
2030 $2,050-$2,470 3-6% Mature market characteristics

What economic and market factors could affect these forecasts?

Property price forecasts for Algiers depend on several critical economic and market variables that could influence actual performance.

Currency stability represents a major factor, as continued dinar devaluation could make properties more attractive to foreign buyers while potentially impacting local purchasing power. Exchange rate movements of 10-15% annually could significantly affect price dynamics.

Government housing policy changes could accelerate or slow market development. Modifications to AADL3 delivery schedules, subsidy levels, or foreign investment regulations could substantially impact both supply and demand patterns.

Oil price fluctuations directly affect Algeria's fiscal capacity and overall economic stability. Sustained oil prices above $80-90 per barrel support government spending and economic confidence, while lower prices could constrain public investment and housing programs.

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Regional economic conditions and geopolitical stability also influence investor confidence and cross-border investment flows. These factors remain subject to change and could cause actual price performance to vary significantly from current forecasts.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. House Price Algeria - Sands of Wealth
  2. Algiers Price Forecasts - Sands of Wealth
  3. Average House Price in Algeria - Sands of Wealth
  4. Algeria Residential Real Estate - Statista
  5. Algeria Real Estate Market - Statista
  6. Global Property Guide - Square Meter Prices
  7. KPMG Algeria Investment Guide 2025
  8. Numbeo Property Investment - Algiers