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Should you buy near Al Maktoum Airport now?

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SUMMARY

Yes, selectively: buying near Al Maktoum Airport makes sense now for a long-term investor, but Dubai South is no longer the kind of place where almost any purchase can be defended just by pointing at the airport.

The airport story itself has become much more credible. Dubai has approved AED128 billion for the expansion, more than AED13 billion of construction packages are already under execution, and the first major operating phase is still targeted for 2032.

The market has already reacted, though. Dubai South recorded 16,264 registered sales worth AED26.2 billion over the latest 12 months, so buyers today are competing in one of Dubai's most active property markets rather than quietly buying ahead of everyone else.

The biggest opportunity is inside the price dispersion. Recent ready apartments have traded around AED1,100-1,200 per square foot in some DLD-based samples, while ordinary off-plan stock can approach AED1,700-1,800. That difference is too large to ignore.

Dubai South is also three different investment stories sitting beside each other. Cheaper ready stock offers the cleanest valuation case, Emaar South offers a functioning community with less dependence on DWC, and Expo City offers better infrastructure today but at a much higher price.

Current rental demand is real, which matters more than the eventual one-million-resident ambition. A property that works at today's rent can afford to wait for the airport; a property that only works once thousands of future airport workers arrive is a much more fragile bet.

The awkward part is timing. Developers can deliver thousands of studios and one-bedroom apartments before DWC's first major new phase opens, so apartment oversupply can hurt landlords even while the airport itself keeps progressing exactly as planned.

Transport is another place where marketing can get ahead of reality. Expo City has Metro access today, but most of Dubai South still depends heavily on cars, and buyers should not price a future rail connection as if it were already operating.

For income, ready apartments currently look stronger than villas and townhouses. For long-term scarcity, good family homes in established communities may age better than another generic one-bedroom apartment surrounded by similar supply.

The investment horizon should be seven to ten years if the airport is the main reason for buying. Shorter-term buyers are still trading developer launches, sentiment and the wider Dubai cycle more than they are trading the actual airport economy.

Our view is simple: buy the airport story where today's economics already make sense. We would rather own a completed, rentable property at a defensible resale price than pay several years of future DWC growth upfront through a large off-plan premium.

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Why are people buying property near Al Maktoum Airport now?

Buying near Al Maktoum Airport makes much more sense today because the airport expansion has moved well beyond a distant master plan.

Dubai approved AED128 billion for the new passenger terminal and wider expansion, and the latest government construction update says the first major phase remains on track to start operations in 2032. More importantly, there is now real construction to look at. According to Dubai Aviation Engineering Projects, packages worth more than AED13 billion are already under execution, more than 17,000 concrete piles are being installed, excavation has passed 45 million cubic metres, and roughly 9,000 people are currently working on the site. The workforce is expected to reach around 120,000 at peak construction.

The property market has moved quickly too. Dubai Land Department data compiled by Dubai Real Estate Data shows 16,264 registered Dubai South sales over the latest 12 months, worth AED26.2 billion. That is far beyond the level of activity we would expect from a quiet peripheral district waiting for something to happen decades from now.

The airport itself is still years away from transforming daily life in Dubai South, though. Buyers today are effectively making two bets at once: that DWC gets built broadly on schedule, and that they choose a property whose price has not already absorbed too much of that future growth.

What has changed Earlier situation Where things stand now What it means for buyers
Airport expansion Long-term ambition AED128bn programme under construction Execution risk has fallen sharply
Construction Mostly future plans AED13bn+ of packages underway Buyers can track physical progress
First major phase Distant and vague Operations targeted for 2032 The investment horizon is clearer
Dubai South sales Peripheral-market activity 16,264 registered sales in 12 months The airport story is already attracting capital
Property pricing Large peripheral discount Some new projects command much higher prices Selection matters more than before

Is Al Maktoum Airport really going to replace Dubai International?

Yes. Dubai is clearly building Al Maktoum International Airport to become its main aviation hub, although the transfer from Dubai International will take years rather than happen in one dramatic move.

The numbers leave little ambiguity about the intended scale. The approved first major phase is designed for roughly 150 million passengers a year. The ultimate airport is planned for more than 260 million passengers, five parallel runways, more than 430 connected aircraft stands and annual cargo capacity of 12 million tonnes.

For perspective, Dubai International handled 95.2 million passengers in 2025. A 150-million-passenger DWC would therefore have capacity roughly 1.6 times DXB's latest annual traffic. At 260 million, the eventual airport would have capacity approaching three times that level.

Current DWC traffic is tiny beside those targets. Dubai Airports recorded just over 1.1 million passengers there in 2024, while passenger traffic reached 915,000 during the first nine months of 2025. Most of the future airport economy therefore does not exist yet.

That gap is one reason we still see real upside around Dubai South. Property buyers have already started pricing in DWC, but the actual passenger flows, airline operations, jobs and businesses that could eventually support the district are still mostly ahead of us.

Metric Current/recent DWC First major DWC phase Ultimate DWC
Passenger scale ~1.1m in 2024 ~150m capacity 260m+ capacity
Runways Existing airport operation Expansion underway 5 parallel runways
Aircraft stands Limited current operation Major expansion 430+ connected stands
Cargo Already an important cargo airport Expanding 12m tonnes/year
Role in Dubai Secondary airport Major aviation hub Intended principal airport

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Have property prices near Al Maktoum Airport already jumped?

Yes, Dubai South property prices have already moved up, so buyers today are no longer getting the completely unpriced airport story.

The tricky part is that different parts of Dubai South are moving at very different speeds. Bayut's latest 12-month index puts Dubai South around AED1,484 per square foot, up only about 2.5% year over year. Yet an analysis by MOVA of 1,279 ready secondary-market apartment sales from Dubai Land Department records found average transaction prices up 28% from the previous 12-month period.

The gap comes partly from what each dataset measures. Dubai South contains a huge mix of off-plan launches, older ready apartments, villas, townhouses and different subcommunities. A district-wide index can look fairly calm while individual segments rise much faster.

The freshest broader DLD picture makes the same point. Dubai Real Estate Data puts the median registered Dubai South price at AED1,643 per square foot across all sales through the end of August, with prices 3.6% higher over 12 months. Meanwhile, MOVA's ready-apartment sample averaged only AED1,143 per square foot.

So the market has clearly repriced the airport story, but it has done so unevenly. That creates opportunities inside the area rather than one obvious bet on Dubai South as a whole.

Is Dubai South still cheap compared with the rest of Dubai?

Yes, parts of Dubai South are still cheap by Dubai standards, especially ready apartments, but that description becomes misleading once we look at expensive new launches.

A useful benchmark comes from actual resale transactions. MOVA's DLD analysis puts ready Dubai South apartments at about AED1,143 per square foot over the latest 12-month period it measured. Other transaction datasets generally place established Dubai South stock somewhere around AED1,100-1,400 depending on the community and unit type.

That is still a meaningful discount to many established Dubai neighbourhoods.

The problem appears when buyers assume every new Dubai South apartment deserves the same “cheap area” label. Bayut currently puts Dubai South studios around AED1,730 per square foot. Some off-plan launches are being registered around similar levels. Expo City is already around AED2,144 per square foot according to DLD transactions through August.

At that point, the location may still be emerging, but the price increasingly resembles established Dubai.

We therefore see three different markets sitting beside each other: lower-priced ready Dubai South, more expensive master-planned communities such as Emaar South, and premium Expo City. Calling all three “cheap property near Al Maktoum Airport” hides most of the investment decision.

Market Approximate recent price level What buyers are paying for
Ready Dubai South apartments ~AED1,100-1,200/sq ft in recent DLD sample Low entry price + future growth
Broader Dubai South ~AED1,500-1,650/sq ft depending on dataset Mix of ready and heavily off-plan stock
Emaar South Generally above basic Dubai South stock Established master developer + golf community
Expo City ~AED2,144/sq ft Metro, infrastructure and existing destination
Premium new Dubai South launches Often AED1,600-1,800+ New build + payment plan + future story

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Are buyers paying too much for off-plan property near Al Maktoum Airport?

In some Dubai South projects, definitely. The current off-plan premium is large enough that we would compare every new launch with nearby completed homes before considering it.

One of the clearest examples comes from a recent DLD sample analysed by Cresco Real Estate. Across registered Dubai South residential transactions between late June and mid-August, ready stock traded at a median of about AED1,086 per square foot. Off-plan stock came in around AED1,720.

That is a difference of roughly 58%.

The comparison is imperfect because new and older projects are rarely identical. New buildings can have better amenities, layouts, finishes and payment plans. Even after allowing for that, a 58% gap is huge.

There is another warning inside the same data: 98% of the transactions in that particular sample were off-plan. Buyers currently hear far more prices set by developers than prices discovered between owners and resale buyers.

This is where the airport story gets dangerous. Paying AED1,700 per square foot for an uncompleted apartment and then arguing that Dubai South is cheap because completed units nearby sell close to AED1,100 mixes two very different propositions.

We would rather buy the future airport at today's resale price than pay tomorrow's airport price several years early.

Is there enough real demand for housing near Al Maktoum Airport today?

Yes, people already rent and live in Dubai South today, but the current tenant base is nowhere near the size needed to absorb every future project effortlessly.

Dubai South is already supported by aviation, logistics, Expo City, Jebel Ali and businesses operating along Dubai's southern corridor. The latest DLD-derived data puts the median rent on new Dubai South apartment leases at roughly AED59,800 a year. That is real demand rather than a developer projection.

The longer-term employment story is much larger. DWC is being designed for up to 260 million passengers, 12 million tonnes of cargo and a vast aviation ecosystem. Logistics companies, airlines, maintenance businesses, hotels, retail, catering and transport services could create a very large employment base around the airport.

Dubai's own airport announcement linked the project to eventual housing demand for a population of around one million people in Dubai South.

That million-person figure needs to be handled carefully. It describes the scale Dubai intends to support over time; those residents have not suddenly appeared because construction started.

For landlords buying now, today's rent should justify most of the purchase. Future airport workers are better treated as possible upside than as tenants already waiting for the keys.

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Does Dubai South have a Metro advantage yet?

Mostly no. Expo City has a real Metro advantage today, while most property closer to Al Maktoum Airport still depends heavily on cars.

The Red Line's Route 2020 reaches Expo City through Expo 2020 Station and already connects the area with Dubai Investment Park, Jumeirah Golf Estates, Al Furjan, Discovery Gardens and the rest of the Metro network.

RTA's own Route 2020 documentation allows for an extension toward Al Maktoum International Airport. Earlier RTA plans described a 3.4-kilometre extension from Expo toward DWC, and the new airport itself is being designed around an integrated transport hub linking road and rail.

That future rail connection could be valuable, but buyers should distinguish an approved future integration from a Metro station they can use today.

This also has little to do with Dubai's Blue Line. The Blue Line serves a completely different corridor through areas such as Dubai Creek Harbour, International City, Dubai Silicon Oasis and Academic City.

As of now, road access matters much more for most Dubai South properties than proximity to a future rail line. Expo City is the obvious exception.

Could Dubai South build too many apartments before the airport is ready?

Yes. Oversupply is currently the biggest medium-term risk around Al Maktoum Airport, particularly for ordinary studios and one-bedroom apartments.

There is plenty of evidence that developers have crowded into the same story. Prop971 currently tracks 47 off-plan projects from 31 developers in Dubai South. Another live project database has more than 40 developments on its register, with handovers spread from the current period through 2029.

Azizi Venice alone contains numerous separately launched residential phases. Add Beachfront Gates, South Square, The Pulse, projects from Emaar and a growing list of smaller developers, and buyers can see how quickly new apartment inventory is multiplying.

Small units deserve extra scrutiny. DLD-derived housing-stock data shows studios and one-bedroom apartments making up roughly two-thirds of Dubai South's apartment inventory in one recent dataset. Those are exactly the units developers keep launching because the low ticket price attracts investors.

The eventual airport workforce could absorb a lot of housing. The timing is awkward, however. Thousands of homes can reach completion before DWC's first major new phase starts operating in 2032.

A generic studio completing several years before that point may spend its first rental cycle competing against dozens of almost identical buildings.

Supply indicator Current picture What we think
Off-plan projects tracked by Prop971 47 Very large pipeline
Developers tracked 31 Competition is fragmented
Share of sales off-plan in one dataset 61% New supply dominates activity
Studio + 1BR share of apartment stock Roughly two-thirds Highest risk of commoditisation
Main airport phase 2032 target Housing can arrive well before demand

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Are rental yields in Dubai South actually good?

Dubai South apartment yields can still be attractive today, especially at resale prices, while villas and townhouses generally offer much weaker income.

One DLD-based analysis of Dubai South apartments puts the current gross yield around 6.1%. Another dataset covering first-half transactions found approximately 7.8% for studios, 6.8% for one-bedroom apartments and 5.9% for two-bedroom units.

The exact percentage changes with the dataset because off-plan sales cannot produce current rent and newer properties sell at very different prices from older stock. The direction is still useful: affordable ready apartments tend to produce the strongest income.

Villas look much less compelling for yield. A DLD analysis covering 289 villa and townhouse sales and 655 rental contracts found a median sale price of AED3.32 million against median annual rent of AED120,000. That works out at only about 3.6% gross.

Service charges, maintenance, management and vacancy then reduce the return further.

For someone buying mainly for cash flow, a sensibly priced ready apartment currently makes much more sense than an expensive family home. Villas need stronger capital appreciation to close the return gap.

Dubai South property type Indicative gross yield Main attraction Main weakness
Studio ~6-8% depending on dataset Highest income potential Huge competing supply
1-bedroom apartment ~5-7% Broad tenant pool Many similar units
2-bedroom apartment ~5-6% More family demand Higher entry price
Ready apartments overall ~6.1% in one DLD study Income works today Building quality varies
Villas/townhouses ~3.6% in one DLD study Scarcity + family appeal Weak current yield

Is Emaar South the safest place to buy near Al Maktoum Airport?

Emaar South is one of the easier airport-area investments to defend because people can want to live there even before DWC becomes a giant passenger hub.

The community already has completed homes, landscaping, a golf course and a recognisable master developer. A family renting in Emaar South does not need to believe in a 260-million-passenger airport to enjoy the property.

That makes the investment less dependent on one future event.

Buyers pay for that comfort. Emaar South generally trades above older parts of Dubai South, and recent rental data also shows that yields are less spectacular than some cheaper apartment clusters. One recent analysis using current sale and rental averages puts Emaar South apartment yields roughly in the 4.3% to 5.9% range.

We are comfortable paying some premium for Emaar's master plan and the community's existing appeal. We become more sceptical when a new launch adds another big premium on top of that simply because the payment plan is convenient.

For investors who want DWC exposure without making their whole investment depend on DWC, Emaar South currently looks like one of the stronger compromises.

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Is Expo City a better investment than Dubai South near the airport?

Expo City is the stronger place to live today, while cheaper Dubai South property gives investors more direct upside if Al Maktoum Airport transforms the southern corridor.

Expo City already has a working Metro station, offices, public spaces, events infrastructure and the huge amount of investment left behind by Expo 2020. Buyers do not need to wait for the airport before the area has a reason to exist.

That advantage is visible in prices.

DLD data through August shows 1,273 Expo City transactions over the previous 12 months, worth about AED2.8 billion. The median price reached roughly AED2,144 per square foot.

Compare that with ready Dubai South apartments around AED1,143 per square foot in MOVA's DLD sample. Expo City can cost close to twice as much per square foot.

We prefer Expo City for buyers prioritising today's infrastructure, Metro access and lower dependence on DWC. For someone deliberately looking for the bigger airport-driven repricing opportunity, paying more than AED2,000 per square foot removes a large part of the valuation advantage.

Will aircraft noise become a problem near Al Maktoum Airport?

Yes, aircraft noise could become a serious issue for specific properties once Al Maktoum Airport reaches anything close to its planned scale.

DWC remains relatively quiet today compared with what is coming. The finished airport is designed for five parallel runways, more than 430 connected aircraft stands and capacity above 260 million passengers a year. Flight movements around neighbouring communities will eventually look very different from current conditions.

That makes exact location unusually important.

An airport can raise land values across a wide area while hurting individual homes sitting under heavily used flight paths. A villa several kilometres away with good road access can benefit from DWC without experiencing the same environment as an apartment marketed mainly on being “five minutes from the airport.”

We do not yet know how every future runway and flight path will affect every residential project. Buyers closest to the airport are taking that uncertainty on today, and the purchase price should compensate them for it.

For family homes in particular, we would rather be conveniently near DWC than directly beside it.

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Are villas or apartments the better bet near Al Maktoum Airport?

Apartments are the stronger choice for rental income today, while good villas and townhouses may offer a better scarcity story over a long holding period.

Dubai South is heavily apartment-oriented. DLD-derived inventory data counts roughly 45,000 apartments against about 9,000 villas across the wider area in one recent snapshot.

The apartment advantage is immediate. Entry prices are lower and current gross yields can reach roughly 6% or more for sensibly bought ready units.

Family homes are harder to replicate endlessly, especially inside established communities such as Emaar South. A townhouse beside a park or golf course has a clearer point of difference than another one-bedroom apartment in a cluster containing thousands of similar units.

The current yield gap is large, though. As seen above, one DLD study puts villas and townhouses at around 3.6% gross, far below stronger apartment yields.

We would choose apartments when today's income is the priority. For buyers comfortable holding through the airport's first major operating phase and beyond, scarce family housing can make more sense as a capital-growth bet.

How long do you need to hold property near Al Maktoum Airport?

We would want at least a seven-to-ten-year horizon before buying specifically for the Al Maktoum Airport story.

The first major new airport phase is currently targeted for 2032. Even if that schedule holds, the airport will still grow in stages after operations begin.

That means a buyer planning to sell within two or three years will mostly depend on developer launches, investor sentiment, construction announcements and the wider Dubai property cycle. The actual airport economy will still be developing.

A longer hold gives the thesis time to change. Construction workers become operational workers. Infrastructure built for the airport starts getting used. Companies open facilities. Transport improves. Residents move closer to employment.

None of those changes arrives everywhere at once.

If we might need to sell early, we would strongly favour a completed property with real tenants and an established resale market. A seven-year wait is much easier when the apartment already earns rent.

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What could go wrong with property near Al Maktoum Airport?

The biggest risk today is overpaying for a future that is increasingly credible.

We see little reason to build the investment case around DWC being abandoned. Construction is progressing, more than AED13 billion of packages are already under execution, and further major awards are planned.

Several more realistic problems could still hurt returns.

Housing deliveries could run ahead of tenant growth for years. Off-plan buyers may discover that their AED1,700-per-square-foot apartment competes with ready stock worth much less. Future Metro links may take longer than buyers expect. Some properties may eventually suffer from heavy aircraft activity. Smaller developers can also create an additional layer of execution risk unrelated to the airport itself.

The wider Dubai cycle matters as well. A successful airport does not guarantee that every nearby home rises every year. If Dubai's residential market cools while thousands of Dubai South units complete together, DWC can continue progressing while individual investors still struggle to resell.

That is why entry price matters so much here. The airport can be a spectacular success while an overpriced apartment remains a mediocre investment.

Risk How worried are we? Most exposed buyers What reduces the risk
DWC project disappears Low Everyone Major construction already underway
Airport timing slips Medium Short-term investors Long holding period
Apartment oversupply High Studio and 1BR buyers Buy distinctive or cheaper stock
Off-plan premium High New-launch buyers Compare with actual DLD resales
Weak transport before rail expansion Medium Car-dependent projects Strong current road access
Aircraft noise Location-specific Closest residential plots Study exact plot carefully
Developer execution Project-specific Smaller-developer buyers Strong delivery record

What price makes a property near Al Maktoum Airport interesting?

For a normal apartment, prices close to today's ready-market range look much more attractive to us than generic off-plan stock approaching AED1,700-1,800 per square foot.

The latest evidence gives us unusually useful anchors.

MOVA's analysis of 1,279 ready Dubai South apartment sales puts the average around AED1,143 per square foot. Cresco's more recent DLD sample came in almost identically at AED1,086 for ready stock. Meanwhile, its off-plan transactions were around AED1,720.

That is a huge spread.

Around AED1,100-1,300 per square foot, we can still see a convincing argument that the buyer is being paid to wait for Dubai South to mature.

Around AED1,400-1,600, we want better community quality, a strong developer, a good layout or an unusually strong location.

At AED1,700-1,800 for an ordinary apartment, the future airport story is doing far more of the work. We would need a clear reason why that particular property deserves the premium.

Once prices get near AED2,000 per square foot, comparisons with established Dubai become unavoidable. Buyers can find homes in mature districts with existing Metro access, restaurants, schools, offices and far deeper rental markets.

The postcode alone cannot justify that price.

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Should you buy near Al Maktoum Airport now?

Yes, selectively. We think property near Al Maktoum Airport is currently one of Dubai's more credible long-term growth bets, but the best opportunity is buying the right property before the airport matures rather than buying anything carrying the Dubai South label.

The airport evidence is strong enough now. Construction is moving, AED13 billion-plus of packages are already being executed, the first major phase remains targeted for 2032, and Dubai is designing DWC for eventual capacity above 260 million passengers.

At the same time, the property market has already noticed. Dubai South recorded 16,264 registered sales worth AED26.2 billion over the latest 12 months. Developers have flooded the district with new projects, while some off-plan stock trades around AED1,700 per square foot even though recent ready apartments have changed hands closer to AED1,100.

That price gap is where we would focus.

A completed apartment bought around current resale values can earn rent while we wait. Emaar South gives buyers a functioning community and reduces reliance on the airport alone. Well-positioned family homes could benefit from scarcity over a longer period.

We would be much harder to convince on a generic studio or one-bedroom apartment sold at a large off-plan premium because DWC will eventually become enormous. There are simply too many developers selling versions of the same argument these days.

The airport still has decades of growth ahead of it. Property investors have already begun paying for part of that growth.

For someone prepared to hold seven to ten years, compare actual DLD transactions and buy where today's economics already make reasonable sense, we would buy near Al Maktoum Airport now.

For someone relying on a quick airport premium, we think the obvious part of the trade has already happened.

OUR METHODOLOGY

This analysis tests whether buying property near Al Maktoum Airport makes sense now by separating the airport story from the property economics. We look at how far DWC has moved from plan to execution, what buyers are already paying, whether current rental demand is real, how much new housing is arriving before the airport's main operating phase, and how the investment changes across ready property, off-plan stock, Emaar South and Expo City.

We prioritised observable evidence over the long-term narrative. Government construction updates were used to judge airport execution, Dubai Land Department and Dubai Pulse records were used to understand registered sales, pricing, rents, projects and housing stock, and project pipelines were compared with the airport's current 2032 first-phase target to assess the timing risk between housing supply and future employment demand.

Ready and off-plan property were kept separate rather than blended into one Dubai South average. The same applies to Dubai South, Emaar South and Expo City: they sit in the same southern growth corridor, but they offer very different combinations of current infrastructure, entry price, rental demand and dependence on DWC. Where different datasets measured different slices of the market, we used the differences to understand the spread rather than forcing everything into one average.

The yield figures are used mainly to compare current economics across property types, while the price ranges in the article are investment bands derived from recent transaction evidence rather than official valuation thresholds. Our seven-to-ten-year holding view is anchored to the airport's current development timetable and the additional time likely needed for businesses, jobs, transport and residents to build around an operating hub.

Key sources include Dubai Media Office on the AED128 billion DWC expansion, Dubai Media Office and Dubai Aviation Engineering Projects on current construction progress and the 2032 timetable, Dubai Airports on DWC's planned passenger and cargo capacity, Dubai Airports' fact file for current DWC traffic and airport specifications, Dubai Land Department's real-estate data, Dubai Pulse's DLD transaction database, Dubai Pulse's registered rental-contract database, RTA on Route 2020 and the southern Metro corridor, Emaar on the existing Emaar South community, and Dubai Media Office on Expo City's approved master plan.

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Ines Benaddi 🇲🇦🇫🇷

Real Estate Agent, Dubai Real Estate

Ines is an expert in Dubai’s property market and her insights were precious to help us write this blog post. With her experience and the support of a leading agency, she provides personalized guidance to help you maximize your investment and achieve your real estate goals in Dubai.