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Is Yas Island overpriced now?

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SUMMARY

Yas Island is partly overpriced now: the strongest case is against standard apartments bought at aggressive prices, while villas and better-value larger units are much harder to call overpriced.

The market has already repriced sharply. Average Yas property values are roughly 45% above where they were two years ago, and apartments are still about 15% higher than a year earlier.

The more important change is recent momentum. Yas apartment prices are now broadly flat over six months, with several bedroom categories slipping slightly, so the market is no longer behaving like one where almost any entry price gets rescued by fast appreciation.

Demand is still real. Yas generated about AED 7.3 billion of registered residential sales in the first half of 2026, so current prices are being supported by actual transactions and a deep pool of local and international capital.

Where the valuation looks stretched is the gap between prices and rents. Apartment sale values rose around 15% over the past year while rents increased only about 3.5%, and average rents have softened over the latest six months.

That leaves the average Yas apartment producing roughly a 5.8% to 5.9% gross yield. That is respectable for a premium location, but it is not high enough to make today’s pricing look obviously cheap when lower-priced Abu Dhabi communities can offer stronger income returns.

Studios deserve the most scrutiny. Some conventional small units are approaching AED 3,000 per square foot, surprisingly close to the pricing territory of much scarcer Saadiyat property, while still producing only around a 6% gross yield.

Villas tell a different story. The overall Yas villa market is roughly flat year on year, several segments have fallen, and off-plan villas are cheaper than a year ago, which argues against calling the whole island overheated.

The biggest medium-term risk is supply. Knight Frank counts about 7,700 homes under construction on Yas through 2030, and a large share of Abu Dhabi’s apartment pipeline is scheduled for delivery in 2026 and 2027.

Yas still earns a premium because the island itself keeps improving: the waterfront, entertainment, hospitality, retail and visitor economy are all real advantages. But buyers now need to be selective about unit size, view, service charges, project quality and entry price rather than simply buying the Yas name.

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Has Yas Island property already become too expensive?

Yas Island property is expensive now, and parts of the apartment market have gone far enough that we would call them overpriced.

The important distinction is between “expensive” and “overpriced.” Yas has genuinely become a better residential location. The island now combines established communities, waterfront living, schools, Yas Mall, Yas Bay, major leisure attractions, hotels, restaurants and quick airport access. Buyers are paying for a much more complete place than they were several years ago.

But the price increase has been much faster than that improvement alone can explain. Bayut's latest property index puts the average Yas property around AED 2,226 per square foot, roughly 45% above its level two years earlier. Apartments have moved even further, to around AED 2,358 per square foot.

The latest numbers also show something new. Yas apartment prices remain about 15% higher than a year ago, but they are now roughly flat compared with six months earlier. Several bedroom categories have actually slipped slightly over the last three to six months.

The easy-money phase appears to be fading. Yas is still expensive, buyers are still active, and calling the whole island a bubble would be a stretch. But today's buyer is entering after a large repricing rather than before it.

Are Yas Island apartment prices still rising quickly?

Yas Island apartment prices are still much higher than a year ago, but lately the market has almost stopped moving.

Bayut's latest apartment index is around AED 2,358 per square foot, versus roughly AED 2,043 a year earlier. That is a gain of about 15%. Studios are still up around 21%, one-bedroom apartments about 15%, two-bedrooms 14% and three-bedrooms 11%.

Look at the shorter period, however, and the story changes. The overall apartment index was roughly AED 2,369 six months earlier. Studios are almost unchanged over six months, one-bedroom apartments are slightly lower, two-bedrooms are down around 1% and three-bedrooms have fallen about 2%.

That slowdown is useful because annual figures can hide turning points. Someone looking only at “+15% year on year” could easily assume Yas apartments are still racing higher. They currently are not.

Knight Frank reaches a similar conclusion from registered transactions over a slightly different period, recording roughly 18% annual apartment appreciation on Yas. Strong trailing growth is therefore well established across datasets. What has changed recently is the pace.

We would be much more cautious about projecting another 15%–20% increase from here than we would have been a year ago.

Yas apartment Current AED/sq ft 12-month change 6-month change What is happening now?
Studio ~2,792 +21% +1% Mostly flat lately
1 bedroom ~2,332 +15% Around 0% Flat
2 bedrooms ~2,269 +14% -1% Slightly softer
3 bedrooms ~2,192 +11% -2% Softening
All apartments ~2,358 +15% Around 0% Annual boom, recent plateau

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Are buyers still paying these Yas Island prices?

Yes, buyers are still putting serious money into Yas Island, so today's prices cannot be dismissed as asking-price fantasy.

ADREC's latest registered market report shows AED 7.3 billion of Yas Island residential sales in the first half of 2026. That made Yas one of Abu Dhabi's four largest residential markets by sales value, behind Hudayriyat, Saadiyat and the combined Al Reem-Al Maryah area.

Yas sales value was also roughly 91% higher than in the same period a year earlier, according to analysis of ADREC's figures. That is strong activity for an established district that already had substantial transaction volume.

The wider buyer pool is also deep. Resident expatriates and non-resident foreigners accounted for 70% of Abu Dhabi residential sales value during the period, while non-resident investors from 116 nationalities were active across the emirate. In the completed-home market, 61% of purchases were made in cash.

Those numbers do not prove Yas is fairly valued. Expensive markets can stay liquid for years. They do show that the current valuation is being tested by real transactions and a broad pool of capital.

There is no sign that Yas has reached some artificial price level where buyers have simply disappeared.

How expensive is Yas Island compared with the rest of Abu Dhabi?

Yas Island apartments now carry a serious Abu Dhabi premium: roughly 20% above Al Raha Beach, 32% above Al Reem Island and almost 40% above Masdar City.

Bayut's latest indices place Yas apartments near AED 2,358 per square foot. Al Raha Beach is around AED 1,967, Al Reem roughly AED 1,783 and Masdar City about AED 1,698.

That premium makes sense up to a point. Yas has a stronger leisure ecosystem than those locations, a globally recognizable name and a much broader mix of things to do within the community.

Saadiyat remains the useful ceiling. Apartments there average around AED 3,195 per square foot, about 35% above Yas. Saadiyat also offers beachfront scarcity and Abu Dhabi's main cultural district, which gives its premium a different foundation.

Yas now sits in an awkward middle position. It is clearly more valuable than mainstream Abu Dhabi, yet it is no longer cheap enough to win automatically on price.

Apartment market Approx. AED/sq ft Yas premium / discount Current position
Masdar City 1,698 Yas +39% Much cheaper
Al Reem Island 1,783 Yas +32% Clearly cheaper
Al Raha Beach 1,967 Yas +20% Somewhat cheaper
Yas Island 2,358 Premium
Saadiyat Island 3,195 Yas -26% Much more expensive

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Do Yas Island rents still justify apartment prices?

Yas Island rents still support a decent investment return, but today's roughly 6% gross apartment yield no longer makes the market look cheap.

Bayut's H1 2026 investment report estimates average Yas apartment ROI at 5.94%. We get almost the same result using the current price and rental indices.

Average apartment rent is around AED 137 per square foot annually. Against an apartment value near AED 2,358 per square foot, that gives roughly 5.8% gross before service charges, maintenance, vacancy, management costs or buying expenses.

A gross yield around 6% is perfectly respectable for a premium location. The issue is what else investors can buy. Masdar City was producing about 7.6% in Bayut's H1 report. Al Reem can also offer higher income returns on many units because entry prices remain lower.

Saadiyat works in the opposite direction. Buyers there accept much lower yields because they are paying heavily for scarcity and prestige.

Yas is moving closer to that kind of valuation. Investors increasingly need to believe in the island's long-term price appreciation because rental income alone is no longer unusually attractive.

Apartment market Approx. price/sq ft Typical gross yield What buyers are paying for
Masdar City ~1,700 ~7.6% Income
Al Reem Island ~1,780 Around 6%+ Income + location
Yas Island ~2,360 ~5.9% Lifestyle + growth
Saadiyat Island ~3,200 Around 4% Scarcity + prestige

Are Yas Island prices rising faster than rents?

Yes, Yas Island apartment prices have clearly outrun rents over the past year, and that is probably the strongest argument that valuations have become stretched.

The latest Bayut apartment data show sale prices around 15% higher than a year ago. Apartment rents increased only about 3.5% over the same period.

The recent direction is even more revealing. Average rent has fallen from roughly AED 143 per square foot six months ago to AED 137 now. One-bedroom rents are down almost 3% over six months, two-bedrooms about 2%, and three-bedrooms more than 4%.

Some established projects show the divergence clearly. Ansam sale prices are around 22% higher than a year earlier, while two-bedroom rents there have gained only about 4% over the year and fallen almost 9% over six months. At Water's Edge, current two-bedroom rents are slightly below their level a year ago.

The market is asking investors to pay substantially more for rental income that has barely increased lately.

That can continue when buyers willingly accept lower yields for a better asset. It gets much harder to defend if the same gap keeps widening year after year.

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Are Yas Island studios especially overpriced now?

Yas Island studios look like the most stretched mainstream apartment category currently because buyers are paying close to AED 2,800 per square foot for the smallest units.

The current Yas studio index is roughly AED 2,792 per square foot. One-bedroom apartments are around AED 2,332, two-bedrooms AED 2,269 and three-bedrooms about AED 2,192.

Individual developments push the gap further. Ansam studios are close to AED 2,944 per square foot, while Yas Bay studios are around AED 2,966. Some conventional studio apartments are therefore approaching AED 3,000 per square foot before we even enter the island's most distinctive branded projects.

There is a reason investors like small units. Studios require less capital, attract a larger buyer pool and currently rent for about AED 168 per square foot, much more than larger apartments on a per-square-foot basis.

Even so, buying around AED 2,800 and renting around AED 168 produces roughly 6% gross. That's decent rather than exceptional.

The uncomfortable comparison is Saadiyat, where the overall apartment market sits around AED 3,200 per square foot. A standard Yas studio now gets surprisingly close to prime-island pricing without offering the same beachfront scarcity.

Yas apartment size Approx. sale AED/sq ft Approx. rent AED/sq ft Implied gross yield
Studio 2,792 168 ~6.0%
1 bedroom 2,332 137 ~5.9%
2 bedrooms 2,269 129 ~5.7%
3 bedrooms 2,192 123 ~5.6%

Are Yas Island villas overpriced too?

Most Yas Island villas do not look overpriced today because villa prices have barely moved over the past year.

Bayut's latest villa index is around AED 1,570 per square foot, only about 0.4% higher than a year earlier. Three-bedroom villas gained roughly 4%, four-bedrooms are slightly cheaper, five-bedrooms gained about 2% and six-bedroom villas fell around 11%.

That is a completely different market from Yas apartments.

Individual communities reinforce the point. Five-bedroom Yas Acres villas are only around 2% more expensive than a year ago. West Yas gained about 6%. Some newer communities have risen much faster, but others are down: three-bedroom Yas Park Views prices have fallen around 7%, while four-bedroom Yas Park Gate is roughly 5% lower.

Off-plan villas are also around 4% cheaper than a year ago overall. Six-bedroom off-plan villas have fallen close to 19%.

That price dispersion makes it difficult to argue that buyers are indiscriminately overpaying for everything on Yas. The overheating is concentrated much more heavily in apartments and selected new products.

Yas villa segment Approx. AED/sq ft 12-month change
3 bedrooms 1,605 +4%
4 bedrooms 1,602 Around 0%
5 bedrooms 1,497 +2%
6 bedrooms 1,487 -11%
Overall villa market 1,570 Around 0%
Off-plan villas 1,529 -4%

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Does Yas Island's lifestyle really justify paying more?

Yes, Yas Island deserves a meaningful property premium because the lifestyle and visitor economy around the homes are still getting stronger.

Miral's latest published summer figures showed Yas Island visitation rising another 15% from the previous year. Yas theme parks recorded their best summer yet, with visits up 9%, while international theme-park visitation jumped 50%.

The growth was happening outside the attractions too. Footfall at Yas Marina and Yas Bay Waterfront increased 27%. Hotel performance was strong enough that Miral described occupancy as peaking during the summer, while its Yas Neighbour Hotel Partner programme grew 67%.

That gives Yas something many master-planned communities struggle to build: people have reasons to go there even when they do not live there.

Ferrari World, Warner Bros. World, SeaWorld, Yas Waterworld, Yas Marina Circuit, Etihad Arena, Yas Mall and Yas Bay create a concentration of entertainment that would be extremely hard for another Abu Dhabi residential district to reproduce.

We should still be careful about turning visitor numbers directly into apartment values. Someone spending a day at SeaWorld does not automatically become a tenant. Yet the continuing growth in visitation, hotels, restaurants and waterfront traffic supports the idea that Yas itself is becoming a more useful and desirable place.

Part of the property premium is earned.

Is all the off-plan buying on Yas Island becoming a problem?

The amount of off-plan buying around Abu Dhabi makes us more cautious about Yas because today's prices are being set in a market where buyers are heavily betting on homes that have not been completed yet.

ADREC's newest figures are unusually clear. Off-plan property accounted for 82% of Abu Dhabi residential transactions in the first half of 2026 and 89% of residential sales value.

The concentration goes further. Ten projects generated AED 30 billion of sales, equal to 43% of all residential sales value. Ten developers captured 90% of off-plan primary sales.

Yas participates heavily in that same development cycle, with major projects such as Gardenia Bay, Yas Golf Collection, Sama Yas and newer launches adding inventory.

There is nothing inherently unhealthy about off-plan sales in Abu Dhabi. Aldar and other large developers have strong delivery records, buyers use payment plans for legitimate reasons, and foreign demand has widened substantially.

The concern comes later. An apartment bought from a floor plan at a premium eventually has to compete in the ordinary rental and resale market. Tenants will compare it with hundreds of finished alternatives rather than with launch brochures.

The next phase will tell us much more about Yas valuation than launch-day demand does.

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Is too much new housing coming to Yas Island?

Yes, Yas Island has enough new housing under construction to put real pressure on weaker projects over the next few years.

Knight Frank currently counts about 7,700 homes under construction on Yas through 2030, the largest pipeline of any Abu Dhabi community in its latest review.

For context, Knight Frank tracks roughly 36,900 homes under construction across Abu Dhabi over that period. Yas alone therefore represents more than one-fifth of the identified pipeline.

Timing makes the issue more immediate. Around 70% of Abu Dhabi's apartment construction pipeline is scheduled for completion during 2026 and 2027, although Knight Frank expects some delays.

ADREC takes a broader view and expects about 71,000 additional residential units across Abu Dhabi by 2030. Yas is one of six districts expected to account for 77% of that incremental stock.

Strong demand can absorb plenty of new supply, particularly in a growing city. What buyers should stop assuming is permanent scarcity.

A landlord receiving the keys to a new Yas apartment could find several other owners in the same building doing exactly the same thing. Meanwhile, tenants may have brand-new apartments opening nearby with newer amenities and landlords willing to negotiate.

That is probably the biggest test facing today's apartment valuations.

Does Abu Dhabi's rent freeze make Yas Island less attractive to landlords?

Yes, Abu Dhabi's current rent freeze weakens the buy-to-let case for expensive Yas apartments because landlords cannot simply raise existing rents to catch up with purchase prices.

Abu Dhabi temporarily reduced the annual permitted rental increase from 5% to 0% across the emirate, with the measure remaining in force until further notice. New agreements and renewals reference the property's last registered Tawtheeq rent.

The government introduced the measure after rents rose rapidly. ADREC's latest market report shows new apartment leases across Abu Dhabi up 17%, with investment-zone apartment leases up 21%.

Those citywide new-lease figures sound strong, but the freeze changes what an individual investor can actually collect from an existing unit.

Imagine buying an apartment after its market value has risen 15% or 20% while the current tenant's rent cannot increase at renewal. The purchase yield falls immediately, and the landlord has less flexibility to close the gap.

This weighs more heavily on Yas than on cheaper communities because investors are already accepting a relatively compressed yield to own there.

For someone buying a home to live in, the rule barely changes the valuation decision. For a landlord paying a premium for future rental growth, it deserves much more attention these days.

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Which Yas Island properties look hardest to justify?

Standard studios and ordinary apartments approaching AED 3,000 per square foot look hardest to justify currently unless they offer something genuinely scarce.

Ansam is a useful example. Its apartment index has reached roughly AED 2,509 per square foot after gaining about 22% in a year. Studios are close to AED 2,944.

Yas Bay shows the same small-unit premium. Studios are around AED 2,966 per square foot, while three-bedroom apartments are closer to AED 1,849. That is a huge valuation gap inside the same broad location.

Paying more per square foot for a small unit is normal. Paying 50%–60% more deserves scrutiny.

Around AED 3,000 per square foot, we would want a clear reason: exceptional waterfront frontage, a genuinely scarce view, a strong branded residence, unusually good rental economics or a product that future developments cannot easily copy.

A generic layout facing another building does not become scarce simply because it sits on Yas.

Larger apartments can sometimes offer much better value per square foot, while many villa communities have avoided the apartment market's recent repricing altogether.

This is why buying “Yas Island” as a broad investment thesis makes less sense now. The building, unit size, view and entry price increasingly decide whether the deal works.

Could Yas Island property prices actually fall from here?

Yes, some Yas Island properties could fall from today's levels, although a long period of flat prices looks more plausible than an island-wide crash for now.

We can already see small versions of that adjustment.

Apartment prices have stopped rising over the latest six-month period. Rents have softened across several bedroom categories. Four-bedroom villa values are roughly flat year on year, six-bedroom villas are down sharply, and off-plan villa pricing is below last year's level.

At the same time, underlying demand remains strong. As seen above, Yas still generated AED 7.3 billion of registered residential sales in the first half of the year, while Abu Dhabi continues attracting a broad international buyer base.

Those two things can coexist.

A market does not need to crash to disappoint someone buying at an aggressive valuation. An apartment bought for AED 2.5 million can remain worth AED 2.5 million for three years while inflation, service charges and alternative investments keep moving. That is still a poor result if the buyer expected another quick 20% gain.

The incoming supply makes this kind of outcome quite believable. We would expect the weakest units to correct first: high-priced small apartments, ordinary views, buildings with high service charges and projects where many similar units hit the market together.

Better properties could keep appreciating while those units stagnate.

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What price would make Yas Island apartments look attractive again?

Yas Island apartments would look much more attractive if either rents rose meaningfully or purchase prices came down enough to push gross yields back toward 7%.

We can put numbers around that.

An apartment generating AED 137 per square foot of annual rent needs to cost about AED 1,957 per square foot to produce a 7% gross yield.

Alternatively, if the apartment stays near today's roughly AED 2,360 per-square-foot valuation, rent would need to rise to around AED 165 per square foot to generate the same 7%.

That requires rental income to rise by roughly 20%.

A 7% yield is not some universal definition of fair value. Premium locations regularly trade below it. The calculation simply shows how much of today's Yas price depends on buyers accepting a lower return because they expect better long-term appreciation, superior liquidity or a stronger lifestyle asset.

As seen previously, Yas has enough advantages for some yield compression to make sense. But the buyer is already paying for many of those advantages.

The cheaper the entry price, the less future growth we need to assume.

Scenario Property value Annual rent Gross yield
Current Yas average ~AED 2,360/sq ft ~AED 137/sq ft ~5.8%
Price falls, rent unchanged ~AED 1,957/sq ft AED 137/sq ft 7.0%
Price unchanged, rent rises AED 2,360/sq ft ~AED 165/sq ft 7.0%
Approximate adjustment needed -17% price or +20% rent

Is Yas Island overpriced now?

Partly yes: Yas Island apartments have become expensive enough that we think some of the market is currently overpriced, while villas and well-bought larger units are much harder to describe that way.

The case against today's apartment prices is fairly strong. Values remain around 15% higher than a year ago after an even larger two-year run, rents have recently softened, gross yields are now around 6%, small apartments can approach AED 3,000 per square foot, and thousands of additional Yas homes are under construction.

The strongest argument on the other side is that Yas genuinely deserves a premium. Buyer activity remains high, the island's leisure and waterfront ecosystem keeps growing, international capital is pouring into Abu Dhabi, and Yas still costs considerably less than Saadiyat.

That leaves us with a selective rather than market-wide overvaluation.

We would be particularly careful with conventional studios and one-bedroom apartments bought near trophy-project prices. The numbers become much easier to defend for larger units purchased below the island average, genuinely scarce waterfront or branded property, and villas in communities where prices have barely risen over the past year.

The recent plateau also changes the psychology of the market. Buyers can no longer rely on rapidly rising comparable sales to rescue an aggressive entry price.

Yas remains one of Abu Dhabi's strongest residential locations. Paying almost any price to own there no longer makes sense.

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OUR METHODOLOGY

This analysis tests whether Yas Island is overpriced by breaking the question into the parts that can actually answer it: recent price momentum, registered transaction activity, rental economics, relative value against other Abu Dhabi markets, differences between apartments and villas, off-plan exposure, future supply and the strength of Yas itself as a residential and leisure destination.

For each dimension, we prioritized recent evidence and combined the sources that were most useful for the specific question. Registered-market data were used to see where real transactions and capital were flowing; granular price and rental indices were used to compare property types, unit sizes and communities; independent market research was used to test supply and broader pricing trends; and first-hand developer and destination data were used for new projects and the evolution of Yas itself.

Where annual growth figures could hide a recent change in direction, we also looked at shorter periods. That is why the article distinguishes between Yas apartments still being sharply higher year on year and the much flatter pattern visible over the latest six months.

We did not define “overpriced” using one fixed yield, one price-per-square-foot threshold or one comparison market. The conclusion comes from whether current prices are being supported by income, transaction demand, relative value, scarcity and continued improvement in the location, or whether prices have moved materially ahead of those supports.

Comparisons with Al Raha Beach, Al Reem Island, Masdar City and Saadiyat Island are used as valuation anchors, not because the locations are interchangeable. They show what buyers currently receive at different points of Abu Dhabi's mainstream, premium and scarcity spectrum.

Key sources used for this analysis include: Abu Dhabi Real Estate Centre's H1 2026 Real Estate Market Report, ADREC's H1 2026 transaction and foreign-investment release, ADREC's rental-freeze update, Knight Frank's Abu Dhabi Residential and Office Market Review, Summer 2026, Bayut's Yas Island sales index, Bayut's Yas Island rental index, Bayut's Yas Island villa sales index, Bayut's Abu Dhabi H1 2026 sales market report, Miral's latest Yas Island visitation update, Yas Island's official destination overview, and Aldar's first-hand project pages for Gardenia Bay, Sama Yas and Yas Golf Collection.

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Osama Shawky 🇦🇪

CEO, estaie

Osama Shawky is the CEO of estaie, a platform specializing in flexible long-term stays. Through his work with property operators and investors, he has developed a strong understanding of Abu Dhabi’s real estate market, especially the demand driven by expatriates and business professionals. Using data and AI-driven pricing strategies, he helps maximize occupancy and returns in the capital’s evolving property landscape.