Buying real estate in Israel?

We've created a guide to help you avoid pitfalls, save time, and make the best long-term investment possible.

How is the property market forecast in Tel Aviv?

Last updated on 

Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Israel Property Pack

property investment Tel Aviv

Yes, the analysis of Tel Aviv's property market is included in our pack

Tel Aviv's property market continues to be one of the world's most expensive, with apartment prices averaging $18,500 per square meter as of September 2025.

The market has experienced dramatic growth over the past five years, with property values doubling during this period. Despite recent interest rate increases and market volatility, Tel Aviv remains a highly sought-after destination for both investors and residents, though rental yields have compressed due to high entry costs.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Israel, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At Sands of Wealth, we explore the Israeli real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, and Haifa. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What's the current average price per square meter for apartments in Tel Aviv, and how has it changed over the past five years?

The current average price per square meter for apartments in Tel Aviv stands at approximately $18,500 (62,200 shekels) as of September 2025.

Tel Aviv has experienced one of the most dramatic property price increases globally over the past five years. Apartment prices have doubled since 2020, representing a 100% increase that ranks among the steepest rises in OECD countries.

This price surge has positioned Tel Aviv as one of the ten most expensive cities worldwide for residential property. The average 4-room apartment now costs 4.98 million ILS, up slightly from 4.97 million ILS in 2024, demonstrating continued upward pressure despite market volatility.

Some luxury districts have experienced price drops recently, but the overall city average remains exceptionally high. The dramatic price appreciation reflects strong demand, limited supply, and Tel Aviv's status as Israel's economic and cultural center.

It's something we develop in our Israel property pack.

How many residential transactions were completed in Tel Aviv last year, and how does that compare with the previous year?

Tel Aviv's residential transaction market showed significant recovery in early 2025 compared to the previous year's slowdown.

During the first five months of 2025, Tel Aviv recorded 3,270 new housing transactions, representing a substantial 71.5% increase year-over-year. Existing housing sales reached 2,741 units during the same period, showing a 21.7% increase compared to the previous year.

The year 2023 experienced a nationwide slowdown in property transactions, with Tel Aviv proportionally affected by reduced activity, particularly in the luxury segment despite maintaining price strength. This slowdown was attributed to higher interest rates and tighter lending conditions.

The 2025 recovery indicates renewed market confidence and improved transaction volumes, though activity remains concentrated in certain price segments and neighborhoods.

What's the current rental yield in Tel Aviv, and how does it compare with other major Israeli cities like Jerusalem and Haifa?

Tel Aviv currently offers rental yields of 2-3%, which are among the lowest in Israel due to exceptionally high property purchase prices.

Jerusalem provides slightly better rental yields ranging from 2.5-3.5%, benefiting from lower entry costs relative to rental income potential. Haifa also offers superior yields in the 2.5-3.5% range, making it more attractive for yield-focused investors.

Tel Aviv's compressed rental yields result directly from the dramatic price appreciation over recent years, where purchase prices have outpaced rental growth. Despite lower yields, Tel Aviv properties continue attracting investors due to capital appreciation potential and the city's economic dynamism.

Investors seeking higher current income typically look toward Jerusalem or Haifa, while those prioritizing long-term capital growth often accept Tel Aviv's lower yields for greater appreciation potential.

How many new housing units are expected to be delivered in Tel Aviv over the next three years, and what percentage of them are luxury versus affordable?

Specific delivery numbers for Tel Aviv's housing pipeline over the next three years are not currently available in official municipal releases.

However, current market evidence indicates that luxury and premium segments dominate new construction projects. New tower developments consistently feature high-value units, with luxury properties representing a significant portion of new supply based on recent transaction patterns.

The emphasis on luxury development reflects developers' response to Tel Aviv's affluent buyer base and high land costs that make affordable housing projects economically challenging. Premium developments in sought-after neighborhoods continue commanding astronomical prices even in a more cautious market environment.

For precise breakdown figures of affordable versus luxury housing delivery, investors should consult upcoming Central Bureau of Statistics releases and municipal planning documents that provide detailed construction pipeline analysis.

Don't lose money on your property in Tel Aviv

100% of people who have lost money there have spent less than 1 hour researching the market. We have reviewed everything there is to know. Grab our guide now.

investing in real estate in  Tel Aviv

What's the current vacancy rate for residential properties in Tel Aviv, and how does it compare to the national average?

Current vacancy rate figures for Tel Aviv residential properties are not available in recent market summaries and require detailed analysis from Central Bureau of Statistics releases.

Tel Aviv's tight housing market and strong rental demand typically result in lower vacancy rates compared to other Israeli cities. The city's status as an economic hub, combined with limited housing supply, generally keeps vacancy rates minimal.

National vacancy rate comparisons would provide important context for understanding Tel Aviv's relative market tightness. High property prices and strong rental demand typically correlate with low vacancy rates in prime urban markets like Tel Aviv.

Investors seeking accurate vacancy data should consult official statistical releases and local real estate market reports that track occupancy rates across different neighborhoods and property types.

How has the Bank of Israel's interest rate movement over the past 12 months affected mortgage affordability in Tel Aviv?

The Bank of Israel's interest rate currently stands at 4.5% as of June 2025, significantly impacting mortgage affordability in Tel Aviv's expensive property market.

Higher interest rates have contributed to slower transaction volumes and fewer high-end deals throughout 2024 and early 2025. The rate increases have particularly affected first-time buyers and investors relying on leverage to enter Tel Aviv's market.

Tighter mortgage affordability has created a more selective buyer pool, with cash buyers and well-capitalized investors maintaining greater market access. Many potential buyers have been priced out or delayed purchases due to higher borrowing costs combined with Tel Aviv's already elevated property prices.

The interest rate environment has contributed to market cooling in luxury segments, though prime locations continue attracting buyers despite financing constraints. Mortgage affordability challenges are expected to persist while rates remain elevated.

What percentage of Tel Aviv buyers are investors versus first-time homebuyers, and how is that trend shifting?

Detailed breakdown of investors versus first-time homebuyers in Tel Aviv is not specified in current market data and requires comprehensive transaction analysis.

Market trends suggest that investors continue representing a significant portion of Tel Aviv buyers, particularly in the luxury and new development segments. However, tightening lending conditions and soaring prices are making market entry increasingly difficult for new entrants.

First-time buyers face particular challenges in Tel Aviv due to the combination of high property prices, elevated interest rates, and strict lending requirements. Many are being pushed toward surrounding areas or delaying purchases entirely.

The investor share likely remains substantial given Tel Aviv's investment appeal, but the composition may be shifting toward more cash-heavy buyers as financing becomes more restrictive. Official transaction-level data would provide precise buyer category breakdowns.

What's the forecasted population growth of Tel Aviv over the next 10 years, and how many additional housing units would be needed to meet that demand?

Official population forecasts for Tel Aviv over the next decade require consultation of municipal and national demographic projections for accurate estimates.

Tel Aviv's population growth typically outpaces housing supply increases, contributing to sustained price pressure and market tightness. The city's role as Israel's economic and cultural center continues attracting domestic and international residents.

Housing demand calculations depend on population growth rates, household formation patterns, and migration trends both within Israel and from international sources. These factors collectively determine the scale of additional housing units needed.

For precise population growth forecasts and corresponding housing unit requirements, investors should reference official demographic projections from Israel's Central Bureau of Statistics and Tel Aviv municipality planning documents.

It's something we develop in our Israel property pack.

infographics rental yields citiesTel Aviv

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Israel versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

How many foreign buyers purchased Tel Aviv property in the past year, and what share of total transactions do they represent?

The specific count and share of foreign buyers in Tel Aviv's property market are not detailed in current high-level market summaries.

Foreign investment in Tel Aviv real estate typically represents a notable portion of transactions, particularly in luxury and new development segments. International buyers are attracted by Tel Aviv's economic stability, cultural vibrancy, and potential for capital appreciation.

Foreign buyer activity tends to concentrate in prime neighborhoods and high-end properties, where international investors seek exposure to Tel Aviv's property market. These buyers often have different motivations compared to local purchasers, including portfolio diversification and lifestyle considerations.

Precise foreign buyer statistics require transaction-level data from the Israel Tax Authority and real estate industry reports that track international investment flows into Tel Aviv's residential market.

What's the current average monthly rent for a two-bedroom apartment in central Tel Aviv, and how does it compare with five years ago?

The average monthly rent for a two-bedroom apartment in central Tel Aviv currently stands at $3,088 (10,400 ILS) as of September 2025.

This represents a considerable increase compared to rental levels five years ago, though the exact percentage increase requires historical rental data for precise comparison. The rental growth reflects Tel Aviv's strong housing demand and limited supply in central locations.

Central Tel Aviv commands premium rental rates due to its proximity to business districts, cultural attractions, and transportation hubs. The area remains highly sought after by both local professionals and international residents.

Rental increases have generally tracked property price appreciation, though at a slower pace, contributing to compressed rental yields for property investors in central Tel Aviv locations.

How much has construction cost inflation risen in Tel Aviv over the past three years, and how is it affecting developer activity?

Specific construction cost inflation figures for Tel Aviv over the past three years are not itemized in current market summaries.

The impact of rising construction costs is visible in new luxury unit prices, which have posted double-digit growth for select apartments. Developers have responded by focusing on higher-end projects that can absorb increased construction expenses while maintaining profitability.

Construction cost inflation affects developer activity by making affordable housing projects increasingly challenging from an economic standpoint. This trend reinforces the focus on luxury and premium segments where pricing can accommodate higher development costs.

For detailed construction cost inflation statistics, investors should consult official construction price indices and industry reports that track material costs, labor expenses, and regulatory compliance costs affecting Tel Aviv development projects.

What are the most optimistic and most pessimistic forecasts for Tel Aviv property prices in the next 24 months, and what numerical ranges do analysts give?

Tel Aviv property price forecasts for the next 24 months vary significantly based on economic scenarios and market assumptions.

Most forecasts anticipate ongoing price increases for core Tel Aviv assets due to persistent supply constraints and the city's continued economic strength. Optimistic scenarios suggest modest growth as demand remains strong despite affordability challenges.

Short-term correction risk exists, with optimistic forecasts showing potential 0-5% downside in a moderate adjustment scenario. Pessimistic forecasts project up to 10% downside risk depending on macroeconomic conditions, interest rate movements, and broader economic stability.

Price trajectory ultimately depends on interest rate policies, economic growth, geopolitical stability, and government housing policies. The most likely scenario involves continued price strength with periodic volatility rather than dramatic corrections.

It's something we develop in our Israel property pack.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. Sands of Wealth - Average Apartment Price Israel
  2. YNet News - Tel Aviv Property Prices
  3. Buy It In Israel - Home Prices 2025
  4. LinkedIn - Tel Aviv Real Estate Market Analysis
  5. Global Property Guide - Israel Price History
  6. Prosperity Real Estate - Ultra Luxury Market 2024
  7. Times of Israel - Housing Snapshot June 2025
  8. Global Property Guide - Israel Square Meter Prices