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How is the property market forecast in Riyadh?

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Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Saudi Arabia Property Pack

property investment Riyadh

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Riyadh's property market is experiencing unprecedented growth driven by Vision 2030 initiatives and rapid urban development.

The capital city's real estate sector shows strong fundamentals with property prices rising 8.6% year-on-year in 2024, while luxury segments see even higher growth rates of 12-15%. Foreign investment has accelerated significantly over the past five years, supported by new ownership regulations and massive government infrastructure projects.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Saudi Arabia, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At Sands of Wealth, we explore the Riyadh real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in Riyadh's key districts. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What's the current average price per square meter for residential and commercial properties in Riyadh?

As of September 2025, residential properties in Riyadh average SAR 4,971 per square meter for apartments and SAR 5,824 per square meter for villas.

Prime areas command significantly higher prices, reaching up to SAR 15,000 per square meter, while suburban areas average around SAR 8,500 per square meter. The price difference between central and peripheral locations reflects the premium buyers pay for accessibility and established infrastructure.

Commercial properties show even wider price ranges depending on location and type. Office spaces range from SAR 8,000 to SAR 15,000 per square meter in key business zones. Prime retail stores command the highest prices, ranging from SAR 10,000 to SAR 25,000 per square meter, while warehouses are more affordable at SAR 3,000 to SAR 8,000 per square meter.

The commercial real estate market in Riyadh reflects the city's growing status as a regional business hub, with premium locations in business districts commanding top prices.

It's something we develop in our Saudi Arabia property pack.

How have property prices changed in the last 12 months, and what's the projected percentage growth or decline over the next year?

Riyadh's property market experienced robust growth of 8.6% year-on-year in 2024, with luxury segments performing even better at 12-15% annual growth.

The luxury villa market has been particularly strong, driven by high-net-worth individuals and foreign investors seeking premium properties in established neighborhoods. Nationally, Saudi Arabia's property prices increased 4.3% year-on-year in Q1 2025, with Riyadh outperforming the national average.

Market analysts project continued strong growth for the next 12 months, driven by sustained demand that continues to outpace supply. The positive outlook is supported by ongoing Vision 2030 projects, population growth, and increasing foreign investment in the sector.

Well-connected urban districts and luxury developments are expected to see the strongest price appreciation, while suburban areas may experience more moderate but steady growth.

Supply constraints in desirable locations suggest prices will continue their upward trajectory through 2026, though growth rates may moderate slightly as new developments come online.

What is the current rental yield for apartments and villas in central versus suburban Riyadh?

Rental yields in Riyadh vary significantly between property types and locations, with commercial properties generally offering higher returns than residential.

Residential apartments in central Riyadh typically yield 6-7% annually, while suburban apartments offer slightly lower returns due to lower rental demand. Villas generally provide yields of 5-6% depending on location and property quality, with prime locations commanding premium rents.

Commercial properties offer more attractive yields across different sectors. Office spaces in business districts generate 7-9% annual ROI, while retail spaces typically yield 8-10%. Warehouses provide 6-8% ROI, and hotels or serviced apartments can achieve up to 12% annual yield.

The higher commercial yields reflect strong business demand in Riyadh as companies establish regional headquarters and expand operations in line with Vision 2030 objectives.

Central locations consistently outperform suburban areas in terms of rental yields due to higher demand from both businesses and affluent residents seeking convenience and accessibility.

How many new housing units and commercial buildings are expected to be delivered in Riyadh in the next 2–3 years?

Riyadh is expecting a significant surge in new housing and commercial developments over the next 2-3 years, driven by Vision 2030 urban projects and large-scale public-private partnerships.

The city's development pipeline includes major residential complexes, commercial towers, and mixed-use developments concentrated in premium corridors and emerging business districts. Government-backed projects are accelerating delivery timelines to meet growing demand from the expanding population.

New supply is being strategically distributed across different price segments, from affordable housing initiatives to luxury developments targeting high-income residents and foreign buyers. Commercial developments focus on Grade A office space and modern retail centers to support the growing business sector.

The scale of planned developments reflects the government's commitment to accommodating Riyadh's projected population growth to over 10 million residents by 2030. Infrastructure improvements, including the Riyadh Metro, are enabling development in previously less accessible areas.

While specific unit numbers vary by project phase and approval status, the overall pipeline indicates substantial new supply coming to market, which may help moderate price growth in some segments.

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What's the current occupancy rate for residential properties and office spaces in Riyadh?

Grade A office spaces in Riyadh's core business zones report very high occupancy rates, with some districts approaching near full capacity.

The strong office demand is driven by companies expanding operations in Saudi Arabia, multinational corporations establishing regional headquarters, and growing local businesses requiring premium office space. This trend aligns with Vision 2030's goals to diversify the economy and attract foreign investment.

Residential occupancy remains robust across both rental and owner-occupied segments. Central areas and newly developed suburbs show particularly strong occupancy driven by the city's growing professional population and increasing number of expatriate workers.

The tight office market has created upward pressure on commercial rents, while residential areas benefit from steady demand from both local families upgrading their housing and newcomers to the city.

High occupancy rates across both sectors indicate a healthy, supply-constrained market that supports continued price growth and attractive returns for property investors.

How much foreign investment is entering Riyadh's real estate sector, and how has this changed compared to the past five years?

Foreign investment in Riyadh's real estate sector has accelerated significantly over the past five years, marking a dramatic shift from previous restrictions.

New regulations allowing direct foreign ownership have opened the market to international investors, while Vision 2030 initiatives have created attractive investment opportunities in mega-projects and infrastructure developments. The volume of international transactions and joint venture developments has increased substantially compared to pre-2020 levels.

Foreign investors are particularly active in premium residential developments, commercial real estate, and mixed-use projects that align with the kingdom's economic diversification goals. The influx includes both individual high-net-worth investors and institutional capital from international real estate funds.

Government incentives and streamlined procedures for foreign buyers have further boosted international interest, creating a more liquid and dynamic market. This foreign capital injection has contributed to price growth and raised construction quality standards.

The momentum shows no signs of slowing, with ongoing policy support and new Vision 2030 project announcements continuing to attract international investment in Riyadh's real estate sector.

What government initiatives or Vision 2030 projects are directly impacting the property market in Riyadh right now?

Several major Vision 2030 projects are directly transforming Riyadh's property market and creating significant investment opportunities.

King Salman Park, one of the world's largest urban parks, is enhancing property values in surrounding neighborhoods while creating new residential and commercial development opportunities. The project is attracting both local and international developers seeking to capitalize on the improved area appeal.

The Riyadh Metro system is revolutionizing transportation accessibility across the city, making previously distant areas more attractive for both residential and commercial development. Properties near metro stations are experiencing premium valuations and strong buyer interest.

The Green Riyadh program, aimed at planting millions of trees and creating green spaces, is improving the city's livability and environmental appeal. This initiative particularly benefits residential developments and increases property desirability for families and environmentally conscious buyers.

New business zone launches are creating demand for Grade A office space and supporting commercial real estate growth, while residential zones benefit from improved infrastructure and amenities.

It's something we develop in our Saudi Arabia property pack.

How do mortgage interest rates and average down payment requirements in Riyadh compare to previous years?

Mortgage interest rates in Riyadh remain higher than the historic lows seen during 2019-2021, reflecting broader economic fluctuations since the pandemic.

Current rates are stable but elevated compared to the ultra-low period that stimulated significant property buying activity. The Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority's monetary policy adjustments have influenced lending conditions across the banking sector.

Down payment requirements have averaged 15-30% for both Saudi residents and GCC buyers, remaining consistent with previous years' requirements. These requirements vary based on property value, buyer nationality, and individual bank policies.

Despite higher rates compared to the 2019-2021 period, mortgage availability has improved with new regulations and government incentives designed to support homeownership. Banks have expanded their lending programs to accommodate growing demand from both local and foreign buyers.

The financing environment remains supportive of property purchases, with competitive offerings from multiple banks and government-backed programs helping first-time buyers enter the market.

infographics rental yields citiesRiyadh

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Saudi Arabia versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

What percentage of property transactions are cash purchases versus financed purchases in Riyadh today?

The majority of property transactions in Riyadh are financed through mortgage loans, reflecting the increased availability and attractiveness of property financing options.

However, a significant portion of transactions, particularly in the luxury and prime property segments, are completed with cash purchases. High-net-worth individuals and foreign investors often prefer cash transactions for speed and negotiating advantage.

The mix has shifted gradually toward more financing since 2022 as new mortgage regulations and government incentives came into play. These changes have made property financing more accessible and attractive for a broader range of buyers.

Developer direct sales often see higher cash purchase percentages, especially for off-plan properties where buyers seek early-bird pricing and payment plan advantages. Established properties in prime locations also attract cash buyers looking for immediate ownership transfer.

The financing trend is expected to continue growing as banks expand their mortgage products and the government promotes homeownership through various support programs and incentives.

What are the average construction costs per square meter, and how are rising material or labor costs affecting new developments?

Construction costs in Riyadh vary significantly by building type and specification level, with residential projects averaging SAR 2,500-4,500 per square meter.

Commercial construction costs are higher, ranging from SAR 3,000-7,000 per square meter depending on building grade and finishes. Premium developments with high-end specifications and sustainable features command the upper end of these ranges.

Rising material and labor costs are creating upward pressure on construction expenses, particularly affecting high-specification and sustainable developments. Global supply chain disruptions and increased demand for construction materials have contributed to cost inflation.

Labor costs have also increased due to improved working conditions requirements and competition for skilled workers across multiple large-scale projects happening simultaneously in Riyadh. These factors are impacting project timelines and budgets.

Developers are responding by optimizing designs, securing long-term material contracts, and incorporating cost efficiencies while maintaining quality standards to manage the impact of rising construction costs.

How is population growth in Riyadh influencing housing demand, and what's the projected population by 2030?

Riyadh's rapid population growth is creating intense housing demand across all segments of the market, from affordable housing to luxury developments.

Current forecasts project Riyadh will exceed 10 million residents by 2030, representing substantial growth from the current population. This expansion is driven by both natural population growth and significant migration from other parts of Saudi Arabia and international arrivals.

The growing population includes young Saudi professionals, expatriate workers attracted by Vision 2030 opportunities, and families seeking better employment and lifestyle opportunities in the capital. Each demographic segment has distinct housing preferences and price sensitivities.

Housing demand is particularly strong in well-connected areas with good infrastructure, schools, and amenities. The government is responding with both affordable housing initiatives and support for private sector developments to meet diverse needs.

The population growth trajectory suggests sustained housing demand for years to come, supporting continued price appreciation and creating opportunities for both residential investors and developers.

It's something we develop in our Saudi Arabia property pack.

Which districts or neighborhoods in Riyadh are seeing the fastest price growth and the highest demand for both buyers and renters?

Central districts including Al-Olaya, Al-Sulaimaniya, and Al-Malaz are experiencing the fastest price growth and highest demand from both buyers and renters.

District Category Examples Characteristics
Prime Central Al-Olaya, Al-Sulaimaniya, Al-Malaz Fastest price growth, premium demand
Upscale Residential Hittin, Al-Malqa High-end family housing, strong appreciation
Business Districts King Abdullah Financial District Commercial focus, office demand
Emerging Areas Al-Khuzama, Al-Fursan Infrastructure improvements, growth potential
New Developments Various planned communities Modern amenities, planned infrastructure

Upscale housing zones like Hittin and Al-Malqa continue to attract affluent families and professionals seeking premium residential environments with excellent amenities and services. These areas benefit from established infrastructure and proximity to business centers.

Among more affordable and emerging areas, Al-Khuzama and Al-Fursan are gaining significant interest due to improved infrastructure development and new project announcements. These neighborhoods offer growth potential at more accessible price points.

The pattern shows buyer and renter preference for areas with strong connectivity, existing amenities, and planned infrastructure improvements, creating a clear hierarchy of demand across Riyadh's various districts.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. Sands of Wealth - Average House Price Saudi Arabia
  2. Sands of Wealth - Riyadh Price Forecasts
  3. Real Estate Saudi - Commercial Real Estate Riyadh
  4. LinkedIn - Saudi Real Estate Rising Demand
  5. Knight Frank - Saudi Arabia Commercial Market Overview
  6. Sands of Wealth - Riyadh Real Estate Market
  7. Middle East Briefing - Saudi Arabia New Property Law
  8. Gulf News - Saudi Arabia Home Sales Boom