Buying real estate in Israel?

How is the property market forecast in Jerusalem?

Last updated on 

Authored by the expert who managed and guided the team behind the Israel Property Pack

property investment Jerusalem

Yes, the analysis of Jerusalem's property market is included in our pack

Jerusalem's residential property market is experiencing strong demand with limited supply, driving continued price growth despite economic headwinds.

As of September 2025, the Jerusalem property market shows resilient fundamentals with apartment prices averaging 37,000-41,000 ILS per square meter and annual population growth of 1.8-2.0% creating persistent housing demand that outpaces new construction completions.

If you want to go deeper, you can check our pack of documents related to the real estate market in Israel, based on reliable facts and data, not opinions or rumors.

How this content was created 🔎📝

At Sands of Wealth, we explore the Israeli real estate market every day. Our team doesn't just analyze data from a distance—we're actively engaging with local realtors, investors, and property managers in cities like Jerusalem, Tel Aviv, and Haifa. This hands-on approach allows us to gain a deep understanding of the market from the inside out.

These observations are originally based on what we've learned through these conversations and our observations. But it was not enough. To back them up, we also needed to rely on trusted resources

We prioritize accuracy and authority. Trends lacking solid data or expert validation were excluded.

Trustworthiness is central to our work. Every source and citation is clearly listed, ensuring transparency. A writing AI-powered tool was used solely to refine readability and engagement.

To make the information accessible, our team designed custom infographics that clarify key points. We hope you will like them! All illustrations and media were created in-house and added manually.

What are the current apartment and house prices per square meter in Jerusalem?

As of September 2025, apartment prices in Jerusalem average between 37,000 and 41,000 ILS per square meter.

Detached houses and luxury developments command significantly higher rates, often exceeding 45,000 ILS per square meter in central locations and upscale neighborhoods. The variation depends largely on the specific area within Jerusalem, with central districts commanding premium pricing.

Over the past five years, Jerusalem property prices have surged by approximately 35-40%, with the most dramatic acceleration occurring after 2022. This price growth has been driven by persistent supply constraints combined with sustained demographic and investment demand.

The price appreciation has outpaced most other major Israeli cities during this period, reflecting Jerusalem's unique position as both a cultural center and investment destination.

It's something we develop in our Israel property pack.

How many new residential units will be completed in the next two years?

Jerusalem is expected to see between 4,000 and 6,000 new residential units completed over the next 12 to 24 months from currently approved projects and ongoing construction.

The development pipeline is concentrated in two main areas: central urban renewal projects that focus on replacing older buildings with modern developments, and large-scale peripheral neighborhood expansions including Har Homa and Givat Hamatos.

These completion numbers represent a relatively modest addition to Jerusalem's housing stock when compared to the city's growing demand. Major developers are focusing on mixed-use projects that combine residential units with commercial spaces.

Construction delays remain a common issue due to regulatory approvals and infrastructure requirements, meaning some projected completions may extend into late 2026 or early 2027.

What is Jerusalem's population growth and housing demand?

Jerusalem's annual population growth rate currently stands at approximately 1.8% to 2.0%, which translates into a need for about 4,500 to 5,000 additional housing units per year.

This demographic expansion creates a structural supply-demand imbalance, as housing completions consistently fall short of the units needed to accommodate population growth. The gap between demand and supply is one of the primary drivers behind sustained price pressure in the Jerusalem market.

The population growth stems from both natural increase within existing communities and migration from other parts of Israel and abroad. Young families represent a significant portion of new residents, creating particular demand for two and three-bedroom apartments.

Housing demand consistently exceeds completions by a margin of 1,000 to 2,000 units annually, contributing to low vacancy rates and upward pressure on both purchase prices and rental rates.

How many property transactions occurred in the past year?

In the 12 months leading to September 2025, approximately 5,000 to 5,400 residential property transactions were recorded in Jerusalem.

This represents a decrease of 12-15% compared to the previous year, which saw roughly 6,000 to 6,200 transactions when the market was at its peak activity level. The decline reflects broader market conditions including higher interest rates and tighter credit availability.

Despite the year-over-year reduction in transaction volume, Jerusalem's market remains more active than many other major Israeli cities. The transaction decline has been more moderate than initially projected by market analysts.

Foreign buyers and investors continue to represent a significant portion of transactions, helping to maintain market liquidity even as domestic buyer activity has moderated somewhat due to financing constraints.

Don't lose money on your property in Jerusalem

100% of people who have lost money there have spent less than 1 hour researching the market. We have reviewed everything there is to know. Grab our guide now.

investing in real estate in  Jerusalem

What are the rental yields in different Jerusalem neighborhoods?

Central Jerusalem neighborhoods typically generate rental yields between 2.2% and 2.8%, reflecting the high purchase prices in these prime locations.

Peripheral neighborhoods produce higher yields, ranging from 3.0% to 3.7%, as purchase prices are relatively lower while rental rates remain competitive with central areas. This yield differential makes peripheral areas more attractive for purely investment-focused buyers.

Compared to the national average rental yield of 3.1% to 3.4%, central Jerusalem underperforms while peripheral Jerusalem aligns with national trends. Tel Aviv shows similar patterns with central areas yielding less than peripheral districts.

The yield compression in central Jerusalem reflects the premium investors pay for location, accessibility, and perceived long-term appreciation potential. Rental demand remains strong across all Jerusalem neighborhoods due to limited housing supply.

How significant is foreign buyer activity in Jerusalem?

Foreign buyers accounted for approximately 6% to 8% of total residential property transactions in Jerusalem over the past year.

This translates to roughly 350 to 430 property purchases by international buyers, representing a notably higher percentage than the national average of just 2-3% for foreign buyer participation.

Jerusalem's elevated foreign buyer activity reflects the city's unique cultural and religious significance, which attracts international investors and diaspora buyers seeking connections to the city. Many foreign purchases involve buyers planning eventual relocation or seeking investment properties.

The foreign buyer segment has remained relatively stable despite global economic uncertainties, providing a consistent source of demand that helps support market liquidity and price stability.

It's something we develop in our Israel property pack.

What are current rental rates for apartments in central Jerusalem?

As of September 2025, two-bedroom apartments in central Jerusalem command monthly rents between 7,000 and 7,900 ILS.

Three-bedroom apartments rent for 9,000 to 10,500 ILS per month in central locations. These rates reflect premium pricing for proximity to Jerusalem's business districts, cultural sites, and transportation hubs.

Over the past three years, rental rates have increased by approximately 18% to 23%, significantly outpacing national average rental growth. This appreciation has been driven by limited rental inventory and strong tenant demand from both local residents and international arrivals.

The rental market benefits from consistent demand from young professionals, students, and temporary residents, while new rental supply has not kept pace with population growth and changing housing preferences.

How do Jerusalem's mortgage conditions compare to other cities?

Jerusalem's average mortgage interest rates currently range from 4.35% to 4.55%, slightly above the national average and higher than Tel Aviv's 4.25% to 4.45% range.

City Average Interest Rate Average LTV Ratio
Jerusalem 4.35% - 4.55% 55% - 60%
Tel Aviv 4.25% - 4.45% 50% - 55%
Haifa 4.15% - 4.35% 60% - 65%
Beer Sheva 4.20% - 4.40% 65% - 70%
Netanya 4.30% - 4.50% 60% - 65%

Typical loan-to-value ratios in Jerusalem range from 55% to 60%, requiring buyers to provide substantial down payments. This conservative lending approach reflects both borrower risk profiles and elevated property price levels in the city.

Banks generally require more stringent documentation and higher income verification for Jerusalem properties compared to smaller Israeli cities, reflecting the higher transaction values and competitive market conditions.

What percentage of Jerusalem properties remain unsold after six months?

Approximately 24% to 27% of properties listed in Jerusalem remain unsold after six months on the market.

City Unsold After 6 Months Market Liquidity
Jerusalem 24% - 27% Moderate
Tel Aviv 19% - 22% High
Haifa 28% - 32% Lower
Ashdod 30% - 35% Lower
Beersheba 32% - 38% Lowest

This positions Jerusalem in the middle range of major Israeli cities, with faster turnover than Haifa but slower than Tel Aviv. The moderate liquidity reflects balanced buyer interest against pricing expectations.

Properties priced above market averages or in less desirable neighborhoods account for most of the extended listing periods, while well-priced properties in central locations typically sell within three to four months.

infographics rental yields citiesJerusalem

We did some research and made this infographic to help you quickly compare rental yields of the major cities in Israel versus those in neighboring countries. It provides a clear view of how this country positions itself as a real estate investment destination, which might interest you if you're planning to invest there.

How does unemployment affect Jerusalem's property market?

Jerusalem's unemployment rate currently stands at approximately 4.2%, slightly higher than the national average of 3.8%.

The elevated unemployment rate does restrict some local households' purchasing power for housing, particularly affecting first-time buyers and younger demographics. However, this impact is partially offset by strong demand from employed residents and external buyers.

Despite higher unemployment, Jerusalem's property market remains robust due to demographic pressures, foreign buyer activity, and the city's role as a major employment center for government, technology, and tourism sectors.

The unemployment rate primarily affects the rental market more than the sales market, as displaced workers seek more affordable housing options while maintaining residence in Jerusalem for job search purposes.

Economic diversification efforts and continued government sector employment help provide stability even when private sector unemployment fluctuates.

What is the forecasted property price appreciation for the next 3-5 years?

Consensus market estimates project annual property value appreciation of 4.5% to 5.8% per year in Jerusalem's residential market over the next three to five years.

These projections reflect persistent demographic demand combined with expectations that new supply will only incrementally increase, maintaining supply-demand imbalances that support continued price growth.

The forecasted appreciation rate assumes stable interest rates and continued economic growth in Israel, with Jerusalem benefiting from its strategic importance and cultural significance.

Compared to historical averages, this projected growth represents a moderation from the 35-40% appreciation experienced over the past five years, but still indicates robust long-term investment potential.

It's something we develop in our Israel property pack.

How do infrastructure projects impact nearby property values?

New light rail extensions and major road projects have generated property price premiums of 7% to 12% within 500 meters of new or planned stations compared to control neighborhoods.

The price uplift is most pronounced in the early years following project completion, then stabilizes as improved accessibility becomes fully capitalized into property values. Properties with direct walking access to transit stations command the highest premiums.

Current infrastructure projects including light rail expansion and road improvements are expected to create similar value enhancement patterns for properties in their vicinity. The Jerusalem Municipality's infrastructure investment program continues to prioritize transit connectivity.

Commercial properties typically see larger infrastructure-related value increases than residential properties, but residential units still benefit significantly from improved transportation access and reduced commuting times.

Infrastructure improvements also tend to attract additional commercial development and amenities to surrounding areas, creating compound positive effects on property values over time.

Conclusion

This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Readers are advised to consult with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for actions taken based on the information provided.

Sources

  1. Central Bureau of Statistics Israel
  2. Bank of Israel
  3. Yad2 Real Estate Portal
  4. Madlan Property Data
  5. Globes Business News
  6. Calcalist Financial News
  7. TheMarker Economics
  8. Jerusalem Municipality